Damage Assessments and Nuclear Stockpile Uncertainty
The European Council on Foreign Relations estimates that the 2025 strikes likely destroyed many of the roughly 18,000 centrifuges then operating at Iran's Natanz and Fordow facilities, along with several centrifuge production sites and Ardakan, Iran's only yellowcake milling plant. Nearly 4,000 additional centrifuges were installed but idle at the time and may have survived.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed further damage to the entrance buildings of Natanz's underground enrichment plant in March 2026, though it detected no additional impact on the plant itself. Iran is currently believed to hold about 440kg (970lb) of uranium enriched to 60 percent. Nader Hashemi, a professor of Middle East politics at Georgetown University, noted that producing a nuclear weapon would require enriching that uranium to 90 percent, which depends on access to centrifuges "of which we don't know to what extent they may have been damaged."